Sorana Cirstea vs Aryna Sabalenka — Miami Quarter-final

Miami · WTA · Quarter-final
Sorana Cirstea
ROU
Sorana Cirstea
#18WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Cirstea S.
6-4 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Cirstea S.
662
Sabalenka A.
440

Sorana Cirstea defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-4 in the Miami quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64, but Sorana Cirstea had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Sorana Cirstea narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Sorana Cirstea edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-09RomeR32claySorana Cirstea6-2 3-6 5-7
2026-01-04BrisbaneR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2023-04-24MadridR64clayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Cirstea S.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cirstea S.Sabalenka A.
67
Serve
96
70
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Cirstea S.Sabalenka A.
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cirstea S.Sabalenka A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
98
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
98
Break points won·Slight edge
92
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
85
97
Tiebreaks·Even
96
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cirstea S.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Sabalenka A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
1.1Hard Elo 1914
Surface ELO
8.9+287 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1957
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 2220
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
8.4
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
5.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
4.6
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cirstea S.Sabalenka A.
Freshness·Even
86
86

Cirstea S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw

Final
Kvitova P.[15]
Rybakina E.[10]
7-6146-2
Semi-finals
Kvitova P.[15]
Cirstea S.
7-56-4
Rybakina E.[10]
Pegula J.[3]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Kvitova P.[15]
Alexandrova E.[18]
6-43-66-3
Cirstea S.
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[10]
Trevisan M.[25]
6-36-0
Pegula J.[3]
Potapova A.[27]
4-66-37-62
R16
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[16]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Andreescu B.
7-600-2
Trevisan M.[25]
Ostapenko J.[24]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[10]
Mertens E.
6-46-3
Pegula J.[3]
Linette M.[20]
6-17-5
Kvitova P.[15]
Gracheva V.
7-57-65
Cirstea S.
Vondrousova M.
7-636-4
Potapova A.[27]
Zheng Q.[23]
6-47-64
R32
Trevisan M.[25]
Liu C.
4-67-56-4
Ostapenko J.[24]
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-24-66-3
Rybakina E.[10]
Badosa P.[21]
3-67-56-3
Mertens E.
Martic P.[29]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[3]
Collins D.[30]
6-17-60
Sabalenka A.[2]
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-16-2
Andreescu B.
Kenin S.
6-46-4
Linette M.[20]
Azarenka V.[14]
7-632-66-4
Cirstea S.
Muchova K.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[23]
Samsonova L.[12]
5-77-656-3
Potapova A.[27]
Gauff C.[6]
6-787-56-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Bencic B.[9]
7-686-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Vekic D.[22]
6-47-63
Krejcikova B.[16]
Keys M.[19]
7-646-3
Gracheva V.
Frech M.
6-16-2
Vondrousova M.
Pliskova K.[17]
6-16-2
R64
Mertens E.
Kasatkina D.[8]
4-66-26-2
Azarenka V.[14]
Giorgi C.
6-36-1
Kenin S.
Kalinina A.[28]
6-36-4
Bencic B.[9]
Fernandez L.
6-16-1
Kvitova P.[15]
Noskova L.
6-36-0
Vekic D.[22]
Brengle M.
4-66-46-3
Krejcikova B.[16]
Sasnovich A.
6-36-2
Frech M.
Andreeva E.
4-66-16-1
Liu C.
Grabher J.
6-46-3
Linette M.[20]
Rodina E.
6-36-4
Collins D.[30]
Tomova V.
7-636-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Rogers S.
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Zhu L.[32]
6-46-2
Trevisan M.[25]
Hibino N.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[24]
Bjorklund M.
6-36-4
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Martincova T.
7-640-66-0
Badosa P.[21]
Siegemund L.
7-624-66-2
Martic P.[29]
Wang X.
6-36-3
Samsonova L.[12]
Golubic V.
6-16-1
Zheng Q.[23]
Begu I.
2-66-16-1
Andreescu B.
Sakkari M.[7]
5-76-36-4
Gracheva V.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-26-2
Pliskova K.[17]
Wang X.
6-26-4
Vondrousova M.
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-46-2
Keys M.[19]
Montgomery R.
6-46-4
Pegula J.[3]
Sebov K.
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Kalinskaya A.
7-54-66-3
Cirstea S.
Garcia C.[5]
6-26-3
Potapova A.[27]
Kostyuk M.
6-16-3
Gauff C.[6]
Marino R.
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Townsend T.
6-35-76-4
Bouzkova M.[31]
Blinkova A.
3-66-46-3
R128
Liu C.
Siniakova K.
3-63-3
Giorgi C.
Kanepi K.
7-646-747-64
Brengle M.
Anisimova A.
7-655-2
Kenin S.
Hunter S.
6-07-65
Gracheva V.
Zanevska M.
6-17-5
Wang X.
Fruhvirtova B.
6-07-5
Siegemund L.
Sherif M.
6-36-4
Blinkova A.
Niemeier J.
6-46-1
Andreeva E.
Krueger A.
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-46-2
Martincova T.
Korpatsch T.
4-66-46-3
Hibino N.
Kovinic D.
6-36-3
Sebov K.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-24-66-4
Tomova V.
Schmiedlova A.
7-56-2
Rodina E.
Pera B.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Baptiste H.
7-636-1
Kostyuk M.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Raducanu E.
6-33-66-2
Townsend T.
Bondar A.
6-46-0
Fernandez L.
Tsurenko L.
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Teichmann J.
6-06-2
Vondrousova M.
Maria T.
6-46-1
Sasnovich A.
Galfi D.
6-37-65
Montgomery R.
Bogdan A.
3-66-36-3
Marino R.
Putintseva Y.
7-646-2
Begu I.
Eala A.
6-27-5
Cirstea S.
Contreras Gomez F.
7-666-2
Bjorklund M.
Paolini J.
4-66-46-4
Mertens E.
Parks A.
6-16-4
Noskova L.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Friedsam A.
3-66-46-2
Rogers S.
Stephens S.
6-43-66-2