Aryna Sabalenka vs Camila OsorioMadrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#68WTA
1807ELO
1731Clay ELO
24 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Sabalenka A.
6-4 7-5
Osorio C.
Sabalenka A.
672
Osorio C.
450

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Camila Osorio 6-4 7-5 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-06-28WimbledonR32grassAryna Sabalenka6-0 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Osorio C.

Osorio C.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 173). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
84
Break points saved·Dominant
98
73
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 56 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
10.0+373 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1731
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1807
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
94

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Osorio C.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw