Elena Rybakina vs Aryna SabalenkaIndian Wells Final

Indian Wells · WTA · Final
#2WTA
2175ELO
2136Hard ELO
$4.2MYTD
$29MCAREER
26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWW

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 2136
Surface ELO
6.0+75 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 2175
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 2240
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.3
Surface form
8.6
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.2
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.6
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Rybakina E.
71362
Sabalenka A.
61140

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
0.80
SlowFast

Head to head

610
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2026-03-04Indian WellsFhardAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6(6)
2026-01-19Australian OpenFhardElena Rybakina6-4 4-6 6-4
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6(0)
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 6-4
2025-06-16BerlinQFgrassAryna Sabalenka7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6)
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 3-6 6-1
2024-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2024-01-01BrisbaneFhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-3
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 3-6 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-2
2023-01-16Australian OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-3 4-6 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 4-6 6-3
2019-09-23WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 1-6 6-1

Statistics

Recent form
60%1st serve in+5%65%
72%1st serve points won+2%74%
53%2nd serve points won+2%55%
65%Service points won+2%67%
41%Return points won+2%43%
66%Break points saved+3%69%
6.6Aces / match+1.35.3
2.4Double faults / match+0.32.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[10]
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-6116-4