Elena Rybakina vs Aryna SabalenkaAustralian Open Final

Australian Open · WTA · Final
#2WTA
2175ELO
2136Hard ELO
$4.2MYTD
$29MCAREER
26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWW

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 2136
Surface ELO
6.0+75 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 2175
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 2240
7.7
H2H
2.3
8.5
Surface form
9.3
0.0
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.6
Country comfort
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Rybakina E.
6462
Sabalenka A.
4641

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.11
SlowFast

Head to head

610
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2026-03-04Indian WellsFhardAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6(6)
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6(0)
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 6-4
2025-06-16BerlinQFgrassAryna Sabalenka7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6)
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 3-6 6-1
2024-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2024-01-01BrisbaneFhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-3
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 3-6 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsFhardElena Rybakina7-6(11) 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-3 4-6 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 4-6 6-3
2019-09-23WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 1-6 6-1

Statistics

Recent form
60%1st serve in+5%65%
72%1st serve points won+2%74%
53%2nd serve points won+2%55%
65%Service points won+2%67%
41%Return points won+2%43%
66%Break points saved+3%69%
6.6Aces / match+1.35.3
2.4Double faults / match+0.32.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[5]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
R128
Bencic B.[10]
Boulter K.
6-07-5
Muchova K.[19]
Cristian J.
6-37-66
Badosa P.[25]
Diyas Z.
6-26-4
Danilovic O.
Williams V.
6-756-36-4
Pliskova K.
Stephens S.
7-676-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Vekic D.
4-66-36-0
Keys M.[9]
Oliynykova O.
7-666-1
Mcnally C.
Sakatsume H.
6-36-1
Noskova L.[13]
Semenistaja D.
6-36-0
Anisimova A.[4]
Waltert S.
6-36-2
Selekhmeteva O.
Seidel E.
6-33-66-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Yuan Y.
7-656-3
Parks A.
Eala A.
0-66-36-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Sramkova R.
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Juvan K.
6-46-3
Siegemund L.
Samsonova L.[18]
0-67-56-4
Sonmez Z.
Alexandrova E.[11]
7-54-66-4
Hon P.
Stakusic M.
1-66-45-3
Mboko V.[17]
Jones E.
6-46-1
Klimovicova L.
Jones F.
6-23-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Sun L.
6-37-5
Potapova A.
Lamens S.
3-67-56-2
Inglis M.
Birrell K.
7-666-796-4
Bondar A.
Mandlik E.
6-06-4
Uchijima M.
Sierra S.
6-36-1
Valentova T.
Joint M.[30]
6-46-4
Tomljanovic A.
Starodubtseva Y.
4-67-636-1
Sakkari M.
Jeanjean L.
6-46-2
Pegula J.[6]
Zakharova A.
6-26-1
Hunter S.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-4
Bouzkova M.
Zarazua R.
6-27-5
Gauff C.[3]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3
Jovic I.[29]
Volynets K.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Kalinina A.
6-36-3
Putintseva Y.
Haddad Maia B.
3-67-56-3
Tjen J.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-27-61
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
6-46-1
Mertens E.[21]
Tararudee L.
7-56-1
Ruse E.
Yastremska D.[26]
6-47-5
Tauson C.[14]
Galfi D.
6-36-3
Li A.
Osorio C.
6-46-757-5
Jacquemot E.
Kostyuk M.[20]
6-747-647-67
Gracheva V.
Golubic V.
6-12-66-1
Bai Z.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-42-67-610
Gibson T.
Blinkova A.
6-16-3
Frech M.
Erjavec V.
6-16-1
Kudermetova P.
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
6-26-3
Kessler M.
Arango E.
6-36-2
Siniakova K.
Udvardy P.
6-16-2
Raducanu E.[28]
Sawangkaew M.
6-46-1
Cirstea S.
Lys E.
3-66-46-3
Bartunkova N.
Kasatkina D.
7-670-66-3
Paolini J.[7]
Sasnovich A.
6-16-2
Grabher J.
Cocciaretto E.
7-52-66-4
Baptiste H.
Townsend T.
6-36-736-3
Shnaider D.[23]
Krejcikova B.
2-66-36-3
Stearns P.
Kenin S.[27]
6-36-2
Kalinskaya A.[31]
Kartal S.
7-636-1
Preston T.
Zhang S.
6-32-66-3
Krueger A.
Bejlek S.
6-36-3
Marcinko P.
Maria T.
6-37-5
Svitolina E.[12]
Bucsa C.
6-46-1
Osaka N.[16]
Ruzic A.
6-33-66-4
Linette M.
Navarro E.[15]
3-66-36-3