Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina — Wimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 16
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
1987Grass ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 June 2021
grass
Elena Rybakina
KAZ2
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
1884Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 4-6 6-3
Rybakina E.
Sabalenka A.
6462
Rybakina E.
3631

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elena Rybakina 6-3 4-6 6-3 in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 9–7. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

9–7
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2026-03-04Indian WellsFhardAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6(6)
2026-01-19Australian OpenFhardElena Rybakina6-4 4-6 6-4
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6(0)
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 6-4
2025-06-16BerlinQFgrassAryna Sabalenka7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6)
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 3-6 6-1
2024-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2024-01-01BrisbaneFhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-3
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 3-6 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsFhardElena Rybakina7-6(11) 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-01-06Abu DhabiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 4-6 6-3
2019-09-23WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 1-6 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Rybakina E.
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
7.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Rybakina E.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
92
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Rybakina E.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+104 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1884
5.9Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
6.9
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
2.9
4.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Rybakina E.
Freshness·Even
86
89

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw

Final
Barty A.[1]
Pliskova K.[8]
6-36-746-3
Semi-finals
Pliskova K.[8]
Sabalenka A.[1]
5-76-46-4
Barty A.[1]
Kerber A.[25]
6-37-63
Quarter-finals
Kerber A.[25]
Muchova K.[10]
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Jabeur O.[21]
6-46-3
Barty A.[1]
Tomljanovic A.
6-16-3
Pliskova K.[8]
Golubic V.
6-26-2
R16
Kerber A.[25]
Gauff C.[7]
6-46-4
Muchova K.[10]
Badosa P.[30]
7-666-4
Golubic V.
Keys M.[26]
7-636-3
Jabeur O.[21]
Swiatek I.[3]
5-76-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[2]
6-34-66-3
Tomljanovic A.
Raducanu E.[30]
6-43-0
Pliskova K.[8]
Samsonova L.
6-26-3
Barty A.[1]
Krejcikova B.[14]
7-56-3
R32
Barty A.[1]
Siniakova K.[32]
6-37-5
Raducanu E.[30]
Cirstea S.[17]
6-37-5
Muchova K.[10]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[16]
7-56-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Begu I.
6-16-0
Gauff C.[7]
Juvan K.
6-36-3
Keys M.[26]
Mertens E.[25]
7-56-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Rogers S.
6-16-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osorio C.
6-06-3
Jabeur O.[21]
Muguruza G.[11]
5-76-36-2
Kerber A.[25]
Sasnovich A.[15]
2-66-06-1
Pliskova K.[8]
Martincova T.
6-36-3
Samsonova L.
Stephens S.
6-22-66-4
Krejcikova B.[14]
Sevastova A.
7-613-67-5
Badosa P.[30]
Linette M.
5-76-26-4
Tomljanovic A.
Ostapenko J.
4-66-46-2
Golubic V.
Brengle M.
6-26-1
R64
Sasnovich A.[15]
Hibino N.
6-47-64
Mertens E.[25]
Zhu L.[30]
6-26-0
Siniakova K.[32]
Vandeweghe C.
4-66-26-2
Sevastova A.
Kostyuk M.[12]
1-66-46-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Vondrousova M.
6-26-4
Linette M.
Svitolina E.[8]
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Boulter K.
4-66-36-3
Cirstea S.[17]
Azarenka V.[12]
7-653-66-4
Osorio C.
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Zvonareva V.
6-16-3
Samsonova L.
Pegula J.[4]
6-43-66-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Liu C.
6-46-4
Gauff C.[7]
Vesnina E.
6-46-3
Tomljanovic A.
Cornet A.
6-40-66-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.[16]
Pliskova K.
6-36-3
Muchova K.[10]
Giorgi C.
6-35-76-3
Krejcikova B.[14]
Petkovic A.
7-56-4
Martincova T.
Podoroska N.
6-37-65
Keys M.[26]
Davis L.
6-16-4
Brengle M.
Kenin S.[4]
6-26-4
Begu I.
Martic P.[26]
7-56-776-3
Jabeur O.[21]
Williams V.
7-56-0
Barty A.[1]
Blinkova A.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.
Kasatkina D.[31]
6-13-68-6
Juvan K.
Burel C.
6-36-4
Kerber A.[25]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-55-76-4
Pliskova K.[8]
Vekic D.[31]
6-26-2
Stephens S.
Ahn K.
7-56-3
Golubic V.
Collins D.
6-26-0
Rogers S.
Sakkari M.[15]
7-56-4
Muguruza G.[11]
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
6-16-4
Badosa P.[30]
Putintseva Y.
6-46-1
R128
Ahn K.
Watson H.
2-67-638-6
Giorgi C.
Teichmann J.[24]
6-26-2
Zhu L.[30]
Barthel M.
6-726-36-3
Pliskova K.[8]
Zidansek T.[26]
7-56-4
Begu I.
Volynets K.[5]
6-47-5
Siniakova K.[32]
Wang Y.
6-16-0
Petkovic A.
Paolini J.[13]
6-46-3
Kostyuk M.[12]
Bertens K.[17]
6-36-4
Ostapenko J.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-16-2
Cornet A.
Andreescu B.
6-26-1
Linette M.
Anisimova A.[6]
2-66-36-1
Mertens E.[25]
Dart H.
6-16-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Niculescu M.
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.[14]
Tauson C.[24]
6-36-2
Muchova K.[10]
Zhang S.
6-36-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Diatchenko V.
7-646-0
Cirstea S.[17]
Murray S.
6-36-3
Juvan K.
Bencic B.[11]
6-36-3
Gauff C.[7]
Jones F.
7-56-4
Liu C.
Doi M.
2-66-39-7
Rybakina E.[2]
Mladenovic K.
6-46-0
Alexandrova E.[18]
Siegemund L.
6-16-3
Osorio C.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
1-66-06-4
Svitolina E.[8]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-32-66-3
Sasnovich A.[15]
Williams S.[6]
3-3
Podoroska N.
Li A.[28]
6-47-61
Samsonova L.
Kanepi K.
6-46-2
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[29]
3-66-111-9
Swiatek I.[3]
Hsieh S.
6-46-4
Zvonareva V.
Bouzkova M.[21]
7-56-4
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
Kuznetsova S.
6-36-3
Burel C.
Perez E.
6-26-2
Barty A.[1]
Suarez Navarro C.
6-16-716-1
Vandeweghe C.
Govortsova O.
6-46-2
Badosa P.[30]
Bolsova A.
6-25-76-2
Pliskova K.
Sharma A.
3-66-46-4
Pegula J.[4]
Garcia C.
6-36-1
Martincova T.
Riske Amritraj A.[28]
6-24-66-1
Blinkova A.
Babos T.
6-26-2
Sevastova A.
Diyas Z.
6-46-1
Kasatkina D.[31]
Tig P.
6-03-66-3
Tomljanovic A.
Minnen G.
6-27-65
Putintseva Y.
Pironkova T.
6-36-1
Pavlyuchenkova A.[16]
Bogdan A.
6-26-2
Vesnina E.
Trevisan M.
7-56-1
Kerber A.[25]
Stojanovic N.
6-46-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Konjuh A.
6-33-66-3
Hibino N.
Pera B.
6-15-76-3
Vekic D.[31]
Potapova A.[27]
6-16-4
Stephens S.
Kvitova P.[10]
6-36-4
Davis L.
Burrage J.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Swan K.
6-36-4
Collins D.
Hercog P.
4-66-36-2
Brengle M.
Mchale C.
3-67-510-8
Kenin S.[4]
Wang X.
6-46-2
Martic P.[26]
Gracheva V.
6-736-46-3
Muguruza G.[11]
Ferro F.
6-06-1
Sakkari M.[15]
Rus A.
6-16-1
Jabeur O.[21]
Peterson R.
6-26-1
Williams V.
Buzarnescu M.
7-54-66-3
Rogers S.
Stosur S.
6-15-76-3
Boulter K.
Lao D.
6-766-36-4
Azarenka V.[12]
Baindl K.
6-16-3
Vondrousova M.
Kontaveit A.[24]
2-66-46-2