Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina — Cancun Finals Round Robin

Cancun Finals · WTA · Round Robin
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[1]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
KAZ
Elena Rybakina
[4]
#2WTA
2175ELO
2136Hard ELO
$4.2MYTD
$29MCAREER
26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elena Rybakina 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the Cancun Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 9–7. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–3.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Rybakina E.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.0+75 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 2136
5.9Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 2175
4.2
H2H
5.8
7.4
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sabalenka A.
6362
Rybakina E.
2631

Head to head

9–7
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2026-03-04Indian WellsFhardAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6(6)
2026-01-19Australian OpenFhardElena Rybakina6-4 4-6 6-4
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6(0)
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 6-4
2025-06-16BerlinQFgrassAryna Sabalenka7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6)
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 3-6 6-1
2024-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2024-01-01BrisbaneFhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsFhardElena Rybakina7-6(11) 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-3 4-6 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 4-6 6-3
2019-09-23WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 1-6 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Sabalenka A.Rybakina E.
65%1st serve in+5%60%
74%1st serve points won+2%72%
56%2nd serve points won+3%53%
68%Service points won+3%65%
43%Return points won+2%41%
70%Break points saved+4%66%
5.4Aces / match+1.26.6
2Double faults / match+0.42.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[2]
Pegula J.[5]
6-16-0
Semi-finals
Pegula J.[5]
Gauff C.[3]
6-26-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-36-2
Round Robin
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[4]
6-23-66-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sakkari M.[8]
6-06-1
Pegula J.[5]
Rybakina E.[4]
7-56-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Sakkari M.[8]
6-06-747-62
Pegula J.[5]
Sakkari M.[8]
6-36-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Gauff C.[3]
6-07-5
Swiatek I.[2]
Jabeur O.[6]
6-16-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Vondrousova M.[7]
7-636-0
Gauff C.[3]
Jabeur O.[6]
6-06-1
Gauff C.[3]
Vondrousova M.[7]
5-77-646-3
Jabeur O.[6]
Vondrousova M.[7]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[5]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-46-3