Elena Rybakina vs Aryna SabalenkaRiyadh Finals Final

Riyadh Finals · WTA · Final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 November 2025 ·
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Rybakina E.
6-3 7-6
Sabalenka A.
Rybakina E.
672
Sabalenka A.
360

Elena Rybakina defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-3 7-6 in the Riyadh Finals final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–6, defending last year's semi-final. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

Head to head

610
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2026-03-04Indian WellsFhardAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6
2026-01-19Australian OpenFhardElena Rybakina6-4 4-6 6-4
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 6-4
2025-06-16BerlinQFgrassAryna Sabalenka7-6 3-6 7-6
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 3-6 6-1
2024-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6
2024-01-01BrisbaneFhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-3
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 3-6 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsFhardElena Rybakina7-6 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-3 4-6 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 4-6 6-3
2019-09-23WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 1-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
100
Break points saved·Even
90
89
Break points won·Slight edge
91
98
Deciding sets·Even
94
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Rybakina E.: 18 days rest · Sabalenka A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw