Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka — Riyadh Finals Final
Riyadh Finals · WTA · Final
#2WTA
2175ELO
2136Hard ELO
$4.2MYTD
$29MCAREER
26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 November 2025
hard
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Elena Rybakina defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-3 7-6 in the Riyadh Finals final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–6, defending last year's semi-final. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 10–7.
Key context
- Match story: Elena Rybakina closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 2136
Surface ELO6.0+75 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 2175
ELO gap5.9Overall Elo 2240
5.9
H2H4.1
8.0
Surface form7.7
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d9.0
Prev. match9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts8.5
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Rybakina E.
6772
Sabalenka A.
3600
Head to head
6–10| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Miami | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 3-6 6-3 7-6(6) |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | F | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wuhan | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Berlin | QF | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6) |
| 2024-11-04 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 3-6 6-1 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid | SF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 1-6 7-5 7-6(5) |
| 2024-01-01 | Brisbane | F | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-0 6-3 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-10-02 | Beijing | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells | F | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-6(11) 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
| 2021-01-06 | Abu Dhabi | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |
| 2019-09-23 | Wuhan | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 1-6 6-1 |
Statistics
Recent form60%1st serve in+5%65%
72%1st serve points won+2%74%
53%2nd serve points won+3%56%
65%Service points won+3%68%
41%Return points won+2%43%
66%Break points saved+4%70%
6.6Aces / match+1.25.4
2.4Double faults / match+0.42
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
Final
Rybakina E.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-37-60
Round Robin
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pegula J.[5]
6-42-66-3
Rybakina E.[6]
Alexandrova E.
6-46-4
Gauff C.[3]
Paolini J.[8]
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[6]
Swiatek I.[2]
3-66-16-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Keys M.[7]
6-16-2
Anisimova A.[4]
Keys M.[7]
4-66-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[3]
7-656-2
Rybakina E.[6]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-36-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.[8]
6-36-1
Pegula J.[5]
Gauff C.[3]
6-36-746-2
Pegula J.[5]
Paolini J.[8]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-736-46-2