Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka — Cincinnati Quarter-final

Cincinnati · WTA · Quarter-final
KAZ
Elena Rybakina
[9]
#2WTA
2175ELO
2136Hard ELO
$4.2MYTD
$29MCAREER
26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[1]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWW

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Sabalenka A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 38 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 2136
Surface ELO
6.0+75 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 2175
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 2240
8.1
H2H
1.9
7.1
Surface form
10.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
6.3
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Rybakina E.
662
Sabalenka A.
140

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.11
SlowFast

Head to head

6–10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2026-03-04Indian WellsFhardAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6(6)
2026-01-19Australian OpenFhardElena Rybakina6-4 4-6 6-4
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6(0)
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2025-06-16BerlinQFgrassAryna Sabalenka7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6)
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 3-6 6-1
2024-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2024-01-01BrisbaneFhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-3
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 3-6 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsFhardElena Rybakina7-6(11) 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-3 4-6 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 4-6 6-3
2019-09-23WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 1-6 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Rybakina E.Sabalenka A.
60%1st serve in+5%65%
72%1st serve points won+1%73%
53%2nd serve points won+3%56%
65%Service points won+2%67%
41%Return points won+3%44%
66%Break points saved+2%68%
6.6Aces / match+1.65
2.4Double faults / match+0.42

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Paolini J.[7]
7-56-4
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Rybakina E.[9]
7-56-3
Paolini J.[7]
Kudermetova V.
6-36-726-3
Quarter-finals
Paolini J.[7]
Gauff C.[2]
2-66-46-3
Kudermetova V.
Gracheva V.
6-16-2
Rybakina E.[9]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-16-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-36-4
R16
Swiatek I.[3]
Cirstea S.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-17-5
Rybakina E.[9]
Keys M.[6]
6-736-46-2
Gracheva V.
Seidel E.
2-66-16-1
Kudermetova V.
Linette M.[31]
6-46-3
Gauff C.[2]
Bronzetti L.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[7]
Krejcikova B.
6-16-2
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Alexandrova E.[12]
3-67-656-1
R32
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Townsend T.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Raducanu E.[30]
7-634-67-65
Gauff C.[2]
Yastremska D.[32]
W/O
Swiatek I.[3]
Kostyuk M.[25]
W/O
Keys M.[6]
Ito A.
6-46-0
Cirstea S.
Yuan Y.
6-726-46-4
Alexandrova E.[12]
Joint M.
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[9]
Mertens E.[19]
4-66-37-5
Seidel E.
Kessler M.[29]
6-42-67-66
Paolini J.[7]
Krueger A.[26]
7-626-1
Krejcikova B.
Jovic I.
6-43-66-2
Bronzetti L.
Ostapenko J.[23]
1-66-36-4
Kudermetova V.
Tauson C.[16]
3-67-646-4
Linette M.[31]
Pegula J.[4]
7-653-66-3
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Anisimova A.[5]
7-56-4
Gracheva V.
Muchova K.[11]
6-26-4
R64
Tauson C.[16]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-756-4
Linette M.[31]
Sramkova R.
7-646-0
Kostyuk M.[25]
Maria T.
6-06-1
Gauff C.[2]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Kudermetova V.
Bencic B.[17]
6-47-60
Pegula J.[4]
Birrell K.
6-46-3
Paolini J.[7]
Sakkari M.
7-627-65
Townsend T.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-26-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Danilovic O.
6-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Fernandez L.[21]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[9]
Zarazua R.
4-66-07-5
Ito A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-14-66-4
Keys M.[6]
Lys E.
1-66-37-61
Swiatek I.[3]
Potapova A.
6-16-4
Cirstea S.
Frech M.[22]
7-642-66-4
Yuan Y.
Shnaider D.[14]
6-41-66-3
Alexandrova E.[12]
Sun L.
6-46-2
Joint M.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-44-66-4
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Stearns P.
7-644-66-1
Anisimova A.[5]
Jeanjean L.
W/O
Seidel E.
Navarro E.[8]
6-41-66-4
Kessler M.[29]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
Gracheva V.
Kenin S.[24]
6-776-36-3
Muchova K.[11]
Garcia C.
7-637-60
Krejcikova B.
Svitolina E.[10]
2-66-46-3
Ostapenko J.[23]
Osorio C.
W/O
Jovic I.
Noskova L.[20]
6-36-0
Mertens E.[19]
Ngounoue C.
3-67-637-5
Krueger A.[26]
Sevastova A.
6-40-66-3
Bronzetti L.
Kasatkina D.[15]
6-31-66-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Vondrousova M.
7-56-1
Yastremska D.[32]
Tomova V.
6-42-66-2
R128
Sramkova R.
Dolehide C.
1-66-47-61
Maria T.
Osuigwe W.
6-26-3
Stearns P.
Wang Y.
6-46-3
Garcia C.
Kartal S.
5-76-46-3
Vondrousova M.
Cristian J.
6-36-1
Danilovic O.
Boulter K.
6-07-5
Ito A.
Ruse E.
6-27-66
Potapova A.
Siegemund L.
6-46-4
Cirstea S.
Vekic D.
6-14-66-3
Yuan Y.
Bucsa C.
6-26-2
Sun L.
Ruzic A.
6-46-4
Joint M.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Jeanjean L.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-51-66-4
Seidel E.
Kudermetova P.
1-66-36-2
Mcnally C.
Inglis M.
6-26-3
Tomljanovic A.
Bondar A.
7-606-4
Kudermetova V.
Lamens S.
6-16-3
Birrell K.
Blinkova A.
6-26-1
Sakkari M.
Rakhimova K.
6-33-66-2
Sevastova A.
Bektas E.
6-46-766-1
Jovic I.
Sierra S.
6-37-64
Krejcikova B.
Parks A.
6-44-66-0
Osorio C.
Uchijima M.
7-51-66-4
Tomova V.
Li A.
6-47-5
Wang X.
Arango E.
7-616-3
Gracheva V.
Volynets K.
6-43-66-3
Ngounoue C.
Baptiste H.
6-14-66-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Williams V.
6-46-4
Bronzetti L.
Zhu L.
6-766-27-66
Townsend T.
Collins D.
6-47-62
Lys E.
Pera B.
6-24-67-5
Zarazua R.
Putintseva Y.
3-66-46-2