Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina — Madrid Semi-final

Madrid · WTA · Semi-final
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[2]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2116Clay ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 April 2024
clay
KAZ
Elena Rybakina
[4]
#2WTA
2175ELO
2040Clay ELO
$4.2MYTD
$29MCAREER
26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elena Rybakina 1-6 7-5 7-6 in the Madrid semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 9–7, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Rybakina E.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+77 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 2040
5.9Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 2175
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
9.2
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
4.8
7.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sabalenka A.
17772
Rybakina E.
65651

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
0.84
SlowFast
Weather
14°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 33%

Head to head

9–7
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2026-03-04Indian WellsFhardAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6(6)
2026-01-19Australian OpenFhardElena Rybakina6-4 4-6 6-4
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6(0)
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 6-4
2025-06-16BerlinQFgrassAryna Sabalenka7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6)
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina6-4 3-6 6-1
2024-01-01BrisbaneFhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-3
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 3-6 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsFhardElena Rybakina7-6(11) 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-3 4-6 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 4-6 6-3
2019-09-23WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 1-6 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Sabalenka A.Rybakina E.
65%1st serve in+5%60%
74%1st serve points won+2%72%
56%2nd serve points won+3%53%
68%Service points won+3%65%
43%Return points won+2%41%
70%Break points saved+4%66%
5.4Aces / match+1.26.6
2Double faults / match+0.42.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-54-67-67
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[2]
Rybakina E.[4]
1-67-57-65
Swiatek I.[1]
Keys M.[18]
6-16-3
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[4]
Putintseva Y.
4-67-647-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Haddad Maia B.[11]
4-66-06-2
Keys M.[18]
Jabeur O.[8]
0-67-56-1
Sabalenka A.[2]
Andreeva M.
6-16-4
R16
Keys M.[18]
Gauff C.[3]
7-644-66-4
Jabeur O.[8]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-06-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-16-0
Haddad Maia B.[11]
Sakkari M.[5]
6-46-4
Putintseva Y.
Kasatkina D.[10]
3-66-26-2
Andreeva M.
Paolini J.[12]
7-626-4
Rybakina E.[4]
Bejlek S.
6-16-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Collins D.[13]
4-66-46-3
R32
Collins D.[13]
Cristian J.
3-66-46-1
Bejlek S.
Krueger A.
6-36-1
Keys M.[18]
Samsonova L.[15]
6-26-3
Sakkari M.[5]
Stephens S.
6-16-3
Kasatkina D.[10]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
7-657-5
Ostapenko J.[9]
Carle M.
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[4]
Sherif M.
6-16-4
Paolini J.[12]
Garcia C.[21]
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Montgomery R.
6-16-756-4
Haddad Maia B.[11]
Navarro E.[19]
6-46-4
Sorribes Tormo S.
Azarenka V.[23]
7-606-3
Andreeva M.
Vondrousova M.[7]
7-56-1
Gauff C.[3]
Yastremska D.[31]
6-46-1
Jabeur O.[8]
Fernandez L.[32]
7-52-66-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Cirstea S.[27]
6-16-1
Putintseva Y.
Dolehide C.
6-26-2
R64
Putintseva Y.
Zheng Q.[6]
7-52-0
Sakkari M.[5]
Vekic D.
6-36-2
Collins D.[13]
Danilovic O.
4-66-47-68
Kasatkina D.[10]
Bucsa C.
5-77-656-3
Dolehide C.
Kalinina A.[30]
6-766-26-3
Sherif M.
Kostyuk M.[25]
6-27-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Wang X.
6-16-4
Paolini J.[12]
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-06-1
Ostapenko J.[9]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-36-1
Andreeva M.
Noskova L.[29]
4-66-36-3
Navarro E.[19]
Podoroska N.
6-26-1
Haddad Maia B.[11]
Errani S.
6-36-2
Krueger A.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[4]
Bronzetti L.
6-46-3
Cristian J.
Krejcikova B.[22]
2-66-06-2
Stephens S.
Mertens E.[28]
3-66-36-1
Samsonova L.[15]
Osaka N.
6-24-67-5
Cirstea S.[27]
Eala A.
6-36-766-4
Sorribes Tormo S.
Svitolina E.[16]
6-37-5
Keys M.[18]
Begu I.
7-637-66
Carle M.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-46-4
Bejlek S.
Kalinskaya A.[24]
6-16-4
Vondrousova M.[7]
Rogers S.
6-16-3
Montgomery R.
Boulter K.[26]
1-66-36-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Linette M.
6-43-66-3
Fernandez L.[32]
Potapova A.
7-56-3
Garcia C.[21]
Wang X.
6-16-4
Gauff C.[3]
Rus A.
6-06-0
Yastremska D.[31]
Arango E.
0-67-56-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
Saville D.
6-16-4
Azarenka V.[23]
Maria T.
6-36-1
Jabeur O.[8]
Schmiedlova A.
6-45-76-3
R128
Saville D.
Baptiste H.
6-47-65
Krueger A.
Hibino N.
6-46-4
Rus A.
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-3
Montgomery R.
Avanesyan E.
6-26-2
Maria T.
Stearns P.
6-746-27-65
Vekic D.
Siegemund L.
6-16-2
Bronzetti L.
Gracheva V.
6-36-3
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Zhu L.
6-46-3
Sherif M.
Davis L.
4-67-646-4
Putintseva Y.
Yuan Y.
6-26-4
Danilovic O.
Burel C.
3-67-686-4
Carle M.
Raducanu E.
6-26-2
Sorribes Tormo S.
Pera B.
7-56-2
Cristian J.
Frech M.
7-56-2
Podoroska N.
Siniakova K.
6-27-62
Bejlek S.
Blinkova A.
4-66-36-3
Rogers S.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Bogdan A.
6-757-646-2
Arango E.
Anisimova A.
1-66-47-62
Bucsa C.
Dart H.
6-46-4
Errani S.
Wozniacki C.
3-67-57-5
Linette M.
Cocciaretto E.
3-66-46-4
Andreeva M.
Townsend T.
4-66-17-5
Dolehide C.
Bai Z.
6-36-3
Stephens S.
Trevisan M.
6-35-76-4
Osaka N.
Minnen G.
6-46-1
Begu I.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-47-60
Wang X.
Tomova V.
5-77-56-4
Schmiedlova A.
Kenin S.
6-36-4
Potapova A.
Shnaider D.
7-56-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Badosa P.
2-66-36-3
Eala A.
Tsurenko L.
2-66-46-4