Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka — Riyadh Finals Round Robin

Riyadh Finals · WTA · Round Robin
KAZ
Elena Rybakina
[5]
#2WTA
2175ELO
2136Hard ELO
$4.2MYTD
$29MCAREER
26 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024
hard
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[1]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW

Elena Rybakina defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 3-6 6-1 in the Riyadh Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–6. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 3–6 6–1.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 84 days (−1.2)
Sabalenka A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 2136
Surface ELO
6.0+75 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 2175
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 2240
6.3
H2H
3.7
6.6
Surface form
9.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Rybakina E.
6362
Sabalenka A.
4611

Head to head

6–10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2026-03-04Indian WellsFhardAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6(6)
2026-01-19Australian OpenFhardElena Rybakina6-4 4-6 6-4
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsFhardElena Rybakina6-3 7-6(0)
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 6-4
2025-06-16BerlinQFgrassAryna Sabalenka7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6)
2024-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2024-01-01BrisbaneFhardElena Rybakina6-0 6-3
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 3-6 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsFhardElena Rybakina7-6(11) 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-3 4-6 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 4-6 6-3
2019-09-23WuhanQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 1-6 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Rybakina E.Sabalenka A.
60%1st serve in+5%65%
72%1st serve points won+2%74%
53%2nd serve points won+3%56%
65%Service points won+3%68%
41%Return points won+2%43%
66%Break points saved+4%70%
6.6Aces / match+1.25.4
2.4Double faults / match+0.42

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[3]
Zheng Q.[7]
3-66-47-62
Semi-finals
Zheng Q.[7]
Krejcikova B.[8]
6-37-5
Gauff C.[3]
Sabalenka A.[1]
7-646-3
Round Robin
Swiatek I.[2]
Krejcikova B.[8]
4-67-56-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.[4]
6-37-5
Zheng Q.[7]
Paolini J.[4]
6-16-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Kasatkina D.
6-16-0
Zheng Q.[7]
Rybakina E.[5]
7-643-66-1
Gauff C.[3]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[3]
Pegula J.[6]
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[8]
Gauff C.[3]
7-56-4
Krejcikova B.[8]
Pegula J.[6]
6-36-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-36-4
Paolini J.[4]
Rybakina E.[5]
7-656-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-43-66-1