Jelena Ostapenko vs Iga SwiatekUS Open Round of 16

US Open · WTA · Round of 16
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 August 2023
hard
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Ostapenko J.
3-6 6-3 6-1
Swiatek I.
Ostapenko J.
3662
Swiatek I.
6311

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Iga Swiatek 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, defending the title. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 6–0.

Key context

Head to head

50
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayJelena Ostapenko6-3 3-6 6-2
2025-02-09DohaSFhardJelena Ostapenko6-3 6-1
2022-02-14DubaiR16hardJelena Ostapenko4-6 6-1 7-6(4)
2021-10-06Indian WellsR16hardJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-3
2019-06-17BirminghamR32grassJelena Ostapenko6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Swiatek I.
10
Serve
67
45
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
91

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw

R128
Collins D.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-0
Mertens E.
Bjorklund M.
3-66-37-63
Cirstea S.
Day K.
6-26-3
Townsend T.
Gracheva V.
6-46-2
Frech M.
Navarro E.
7-6101-66-2
Tauson C.
Potapova A.
7-643-66-3
Keys M.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Wickmayer Y.
Zvonareva V.
6-46-4
Korpatsch T.
Begu I.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Montgomery R.
6-26-1
Burel C.
Dolehide C.
6-46-3
Pliskova K.
Ruse E.
6-16-4
Vickery S.
Vekic D.
2-67-56-2
Minnen G.
Williams V.
6-16-1
Miyazaki Y.
Gasparyan M.
6-36-3
Tig P.
Marino R.
7-667-61
Juvan K.
Cocciaretto E.
6-27-5
Avanesyan E.
Cornet A.
6-21-66-4
Ostapenko J.
Paolini J.
6-24-66-1
Davis L.
Kovinic D.
6-26-2
Kalinskaya A.
Siniakova K.
6-46-2
Sorribes Tormo S.
Kalinina A.
6-47-5
Haddad Maia B.
Stephens S.
6-25-76-4
Stearns P.
Tomova V.
6-36-4
Boulter K.
Parry D.
6-46-0
Wang Y.
Garcia C.
6-46-1
Samsonova L.
Liu C.
7-636-3
Vondrousova M.
Han N.
6-36-0
Kenin S.
Bogdan A.
7-626-4
Sabalenka A.
Zanevska M.
6-36-2
Burrage J.
Blinkova A.
6-36-4
Pera B.
Kudermetova V.
7-56-4
Kasatkina D.
Parks A.
2-66-46-2
Bronzetti L.
Krejcikova B.
6-47-63
Kanepi K.
Strycova B.
6-46-4
Zheng Q.
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Bouzkova M.
Krueger A.
7-56-4
Martic P.
Maria T.
6-26-1
Noskova L.
Brengle M.
6-26-1
Jabeur O.
Osorio C.
7-57-64
Pegula J.
Giorgi C.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Crawley F.
6-26-4
Svitolina E.
Friedsam A.
6-36-1
Trevisan M.
Putintseva Y.
0-67-607-68
Tsurenko L.
Jacquemot E.
7-53-66-1
Alexandrova E.
Fernandez L.
7-645-76-4
Masarova R.
Sakkari M.
6-46-4
Schmiedlova A.
Baindl K.
6-43-66-3
Wang X.
Volynets K.
6-36-4
Muchova K.
Hunter S.
6-46-0
Bencic B.
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Zhu L.
Sherif M.
6-37-5
Azarenka V.
Ferro F.
6-16-2
Tomljanovic A.
Udvardy P.
3-66-26-4
Rybakina E.
Kostyuk M.
6-26-1
Gauff C.
Siegemund L.
3-66-26-4
Andreeva M.
Gadecki O.
1-66-36-4
Linette M.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-1
Brady J.
Birrell K.
6-37-64
Wozniacki C.
Prozorova T.
6-36-2
Kvitova P.
Bucsa C.
6-17-65
Wang X.
Hruncakova V.
4-66-37-66
Saville D.
Ngounoue C.
6-06-2
Swiatek I.
Peterson R.
6-06-1