Jelena Ostapenko vs Iga Swiatek — Indian Wells Round of 16

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT24
Jelena Ostapenko
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
hard
Iga Swiatek
POL2
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Ostapenko J.
6-4 6-3
Swiatek I.
Ostapenko J.
662
Swiatek I.
430

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-3 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 6–0.

Key context

Head to head

5–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayJelena Ostapenko6-3 3-6 6-2
2025-02-09DohaSFhardJelena Ostapenko6-3 6-1
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardJelena Ostapenko3-6 6-3 6-1
2022-02-14DubaiR16hardJelena Ostapenko4-6 6-1 7-6(4)
2019-06-17BirminghamR32grassJelena Ostapenko6-0 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Swiatek I.
10
Serve
67
45
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Ostapenko J.Swiatek I.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ostapenko J.Swiatek I.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ostapenko J.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Swiatek I.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1794
Surface ELO
8.0+227 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 2064
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
5.4
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ostapenko J.Swiatek I.
Freshness·Even
91
89

Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw

Final
Badosa P.[21]
Azarenka V.[27]
7-652-67-62
Semi-finals
Badosa P.[21]
Jabeur O.[12]
6-36-3
Azarenka V.[27]
Ostapenko J.[24]
3-66-37-5
Quarter-finals
Jabeur O.[12]
Kontaveit A.[18]
7-56-3
Badosa P.[21]
Kerber A.[10]
6-47-5
Azarenka V.[27]
Pegula J.[19]
6-46-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Rogers S.
6-44-66-3
R16
Kontaveit A.[18]
Haddad Maia B.
6-06-2
Badosa P.[21]
Krejcikova B.[3]
6-17-5
Rogers S.
Fernandez L.[23]
2-66-17-64
Ostapenko J.[24]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-46-3
Jabeur O.[12]
Kalinskaya A.
6-26-2
Kerber A.[10]
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-1
Azarenka V.[27]
Sasnovich A.
6-36-4
Pegula J.[19]
Svitolina E.[4]
6-16-1
R32
Haddad Maia B.
Pliskova K.[1]
6-37-5
Kontaveit A.[18]
Andreescu B.[16]
7-656-3
Kalinskaya A.
Golubic V.
1-66-16-3
Krejcikova B.[3]
Anisimova A.
6-26-3
Badosa P.[21]
Gauff C.[15]
6-26-2
Tomljanovic A.
Zidansek T.[26]
6-46-3
Azarenka V.[27]
Kvitova P.[7]
7-56-4
Sasnovich A.
Halep S.[11]
7-56-4
Pegula J.[19]
Paolini J.
6-46-1
Kerber A.[10]
Kasatkina D.[20]
6-21-66-4
Svitolina E.[4]
Cirstea S.[32]
4-66-47-63
Fernandez L.[23]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[9]
5-76-36-4
Ostapenko J.[24]
Putintseva Y.
6-32-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Kudermetova V.[25]
6-16-0
Rogers S.
Begu I.
6-06-2
Jabeur O.[12]
Collins D.[22]
6-16-3
R64
Kontaveit A.[18]
Trevisan M.
6-35-2
Kalinskaya A.
Sorribes Tormo S.[28]
6-34-66-2
Golubic V.
Sakkari M.[6]
5-76-36-2
Collins D.[22]
Davis L.
6-1
Kasatkina D.[20]
Sharma A.
3-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Linette M.
7-53-0
Svitolina E.[4]
Martincova T.
6-27-5
Kerber A.[10]
Siniakova K.
6-16-747-5
Pliskova K.[1]
Frech M.
7-56-2
Haddad Maia B.
Sherif M.
6-36-0
Jabeur O.[12]
Sevastova A.
6-26-756-3
Anisimova A.
Giorgi C.[30]
6-46-1
Badosa P.[21]
Yastremska D.
6-42-66-2
Zidansek T.[26]
Konjuh A.
6-45-76-3
Tomljanovic A.
Muguruza G.[5]
6-31-66-3
Kvitova P.[7]
Rus A.
6-26-2
Gauff C.[15]
Garcia C.
6-36-726-1
Rogers S.
Kucova K.
6-26-2
Sasnovich A.
Raducanu E.[17]
6-26-4
Halep S.[11]
Kostyuk M.
7-626-1
Pegula J.[19]
Stephens S.
6-26-3
Begu I.
Teichmann J.[31]
7-56-1
Fernandez L.[23]
Cornet A.
6-26-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.[9]
Keys M.
6-36-1
Putintseva Y.
Rybakina E.[13]
6-27-65
Ostapenko J.[24]
Hsieh S.
6-36-0
Kudermetova V.[25]
Samsonova L.
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Martic P.
6-16-3
Andreescu B.[16]
Riske Amritraj A.
7-625-76-2
Krejcikova B.[3]
Diyas Z.
6-43-66-1
Paolini J.
Mertens E.[14]
3-66-46-4
Cirstea S.[32]
Doi M.
6-26-3
R128
Siniakova K.
Clijsters K.
6-12-66-2
Cornet A.
Ruse E.
6-37-65
Samsonova L.
Baindl K.
6-47-66
Martic P.
Volynets K.
6-46-4
Garcia C.
Flipkens K.
5-76-46-0
Sherif M.
Kovinic D.
6-16-3
Davis L.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-27-5
Frech M.
Zheng S.
6-16-4
Trevisan M.
Bouzkova M.
6-46-786-4
Riske Amritraj A.
Liang E.
6-26-2
Sevastova A.
Hercog P.
3-66-26-0
Kalinskaya A.
Liu C.
6-32-66-1
Golubic V.
Vondrousova M.
6-14-66-3
Diyas Z.
Hibino N.
6-36-3
Anisimova A.
Scott K.
6-16-1
Sharma A.
Vekic D.
6-42-66-3
Konjuh A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-2
Tomljanovic A.
Arconada U.
6-06-2
Martincova T.
Krueger A.
6-27-61
Rogers S.
Kalinina A.
7-626-2
Rus A.
Parks A.
6-06-1
Begu I.
Ferro F.
6-27-62
Linette M.
Peterson R.
3-66-36-2
Keys M.
Kanepi K.
6-07-5
Putintseva Y.
Petkovic A.
7-626-1
Hsieh S.
Brengle M.
6-17-64
Doi M.
Li A.
6-25-77-5
Yastremska D.
Jacquemot E.
6-26-4
Sasnovich A.
Osorio C.
6-06-4
Kostyuk M.
Zhang S.
6-31-66-2
Paolini J.
Hontama M.
6-03-66-2
Stephens S.
Watson H.
6-757-56-1