Jelena Ostapenko vs Iga SwiatekStuttgart Quarter-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Quarter-final
#29WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#8WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Ostapenko J.
6-3 3-6 6-2
Swiatek I.
Ostapenko J.
6362
Swiatek I.
3621

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Iga Swiatek 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the Stuttgart quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #8, defending last year's semi-final. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 6–0.

Key context

Head to head

50
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaSFhardJelena Ostapenko6-3 6-1
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardJelena Ostapenko3-6 6-3 6-1
2022-02-14DubaiR16hardJelena Ostapenko4-6 6-1 7-6(4)
2021-10-06Indian WellsR16hardJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-3
2019-06-17BirminghamR32grassJelena Ostapenko6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
2.3Clay Elo 1808
Surface ELO
7.7+200 Clay Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 2064
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
8.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
92

Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 70%