Aryna Sabalenka vs Belinda BencicAustralian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
#11WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Sabalenka A.
7-5 6-2
Bencic B.
Sabalenka A.
762
Bencic B.
520

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Belinda Bencic 7-5 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-02-18DubaiR16hardBelinda Bencic6-4 2-6 7-6(7)
2018-08-20New HavenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Bencic B.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Bencic B.
96
Serve
57
39
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
89
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.3+249 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Hard Elo 1952
8.3Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1989
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
9.2
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
4.1
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.9
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
2.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
79

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Bencic B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

R128
Osorio C.
Udvardy P.
6-46-1
Andreescu B.
Bouzkova M.[25]
6-26-4
Krejcikova B.[20]
Bejlek S.
6-36-1
Burel C.
Gibson T.
6-36-4
Keys M.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-43-66-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Kenin S.
6-47-63
Shnaider D.
Kucova K.
7-667-5
Kudermetova V.[9]
Zanevska M.
6-27-64
Townsend T.
Parry D.
6-16-1
Alexandrova E.[19]
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-1
Garcia C.[4]
Sebov K.
6-36-0
Rogers S.
Hartono A.
6-46-3
Davis L.
Kovinic D.
1-67-56-1
Mertens E.[26]
Muguruza G.
3-67-636-1
Schmiedlova A.
Trevisan M.[21]
6-36-2
Giorgi C.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Haddad Maia B.[14]
7-6116-2
Kontaveit A.[16]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Van Uytvanck A.
7-636-2
Gadecki O.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Ostapenko J.[17]
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.
Anisimova A.[28]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[7]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Birrell K.
Kanepi K.[31]
3-67-646-1
Samsonova L.[18]
Paolini J.
6-26-4
Begu I.[27]
Mandlik E.
3-67-616-2
Sabalenka A.[5]
Martincova T.
6-16-4
Baindl K.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-786-1
Bencic B.[12]
Tomova V.
6-16-2
Potapova A.
Stephens S.
7-626-4
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-16-1
Mcnally C.
Pigossi L.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[29]
Galfi D.
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Korpatsch T.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Cristian J.
6-06-1
Podoroska N.
Jeanjean L.
6-06-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Zhang S.[23]
Tig P.
6-14-66-0
Martic P.
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Brengle M.
6-36-4
Vekic D.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-22-67-67
Fruhvirtova L.
Fourlis J.
6-06-4
Vondrousova M.
Riske Amritraj A.
5-76-16-4
Jabeur O.[2]
Zidansek T.
7-684-66-1
Linette M.
Sherif M.
7-56-1
Siegemund L.
Bronzetti L.
2-66-46-3
Wang X.
Hunter S.
7-626-4
Bondar A.
Bogdan A.
6-22-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-2
Pera B.
Uchijima M.
2-66-36-1
Muchova K.
Tsurenko L.
6-26-1
Fernandez L.
Cornet A.
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Niemeier J.
6-47-5
Rybakina E.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
7-56-3
Juvan K.
Janicijevic S.
7-56-1
Collins D.[13]
Kalinskaya A.
7-55-76-4
Zhu L.
Marino R.
6-26-4
Putintseva Y.
Cirstea S.
2-66-46-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Wang X.
6-16-3
Volynets K.
Rodina E.
6-36-2
Bucsa C.
Lys E.
2-66-06-2
Kalinina A.
Vandeweghe C.
6-36-1
Teichmann J.[32]
Dart H.
7-56-1
Stefanini L.
Maria T.
3-67-56-4