Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga SwiatekMadrid Final

Madrid · WTA · Final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#3WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Swiatek I.
Sabalenka A.
6362
Swiatek I.
3631

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Iga Swiatek 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Madrid final on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka narrowed the head-to-head to 8–5.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

48
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6(1) 4-6 6-0
2024-08-12CincinnatiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2024-05-06RomeFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2024-04-22MadridFclayIga Swiatek7-5 4-6 7-6(7)
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsSFhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2023-04-17StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 2-6 6-1
2022-08-29US OpenSFhardIga Swiatek3-6 6-1 6-4
2022-05-09RomeSFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-1
2022-04-18StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-2
2022-02-21DohaQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka2-6 6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
100
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+95 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 2008
7.3Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 2064
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.2
Surface form
9.2
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
87

Sabalenka A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[2]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-33-66-3