Iga Swiatek vs Aryna SabalenkaDoha Quarter-final

Doha · WTA · Quarter-final
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Swiatek I.
6-2 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Swiatek I.
662
Sabalenka A.
230

Iga Swiatek defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 6-3 in the Doha quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 16. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 8–5.

Key context

Head to head

75
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6(1) 4-6 6-0
2024-08-12CincinnatiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2024-05-06RomeFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2024-04-22MadridFclayIga Swiatek7-5 4-6 7-6(7)
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsSFhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2023-04-24MadridFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 3-6 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 2-6 6-1
2022-08-29US OpenSFhardIga Swiatek3-6 6-1 6-4
2022-05-09RomeSFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-1
2022-04-18StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-2
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka2-6 6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Sabalenka A.
67
Serve
96
98
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
100
98
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
98
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 2022
Surface ELO
7.4+180 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 2220
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.5
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
88

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 34 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw