Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga SwiatekRoland Garros Semi-final

Roland Garros · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
#3WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Sabalenka A.
7-6 4-6 6-0
Swiatek I.
Sabalenka A.
77462
Swiatek I.
61601

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Iga Swiatek 7-6 4-6 6-0 in the Roland Garros semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's quarter-final. Aryna Sabalenka narrowed the head-to-head to 8–5.

Key context

Head to head

48
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12CincinnatiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2024-05-06RomeFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2024-04-22MadridFclayIga Swiatek7-5 4-6 7-6(7)
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsSFhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2023-04-24MadridFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 3-6 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 2-6 6-1
2022-08-29US OpenSFhardIga Swiatek3-6 6-1 6-4
2022-05-09RomeSFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-1
2022-04-18StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-2
2022-02-21DohaQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka2-6 6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
100
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+95 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 2008
7.3Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 2064
2.3
H2H
7.7
8.9
Surface form
6.9
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.2
Country comfort
7.7
Context
7.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
89

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw

Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Swiatek I.[3]
7-614-66-0
Gauff C.[4]
Boisson L.
6-16-2
R128
Cristian J.
Birrell K.
6-16-0
Kartal S.
Andreeva E.
6-06-2
Frech M.[25]
Jabeur O.
7-646-0
Kudermetova V.
Tomova V.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.[15]
Maria T.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Navarro E.[9]
6-06-1
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
2-66-16-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Arango E.
Eala A.
6-02-66-3
Mboko V.[9]
Sun L.[5]
6-17-64
Yastremska D.
Aiava D.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Stojanovic N.
6-34-1
Golubic V.
Kvitova P.
3-66-06-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Riera J.
6-14-66-4
Paolini J.[13]
Yuan Y.[10]
6-14-66-3
Valentova T.
Paquet C.
4-66-37-5
Parks A.
Muchova K.[10]
6-32-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
7-636-2
Garland J.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-4
Montgomery R.
Parry D.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Saville D.
6-26-1
Ruse E.
Kessler M.
7-57-63
Potapova A.[28]
Noskova L.[12]
5-76-17-5
Cocciaretto E.
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Stearns P.[28]
6-06-3
Pegula J.[5]
Todoni A.
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Sherif M.
7-636-2
Krueger A.
Lamens S.[17]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Sramkova R.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Gadecki O.
6-26-2
Boulter K.
Monnet C.
6-746-16-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Kudermetova P.[16]
5-76-06-2
Azarenka V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.
Burrage J.
7-616-4
Tomljanovic A.
Joint M.
6-16-3
Kalinina A.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Kasatkina D.[17]
Siniakova K.
6-13-66-2
Hibino N.
Uchijima M.
6-17-5
Kenin S.[31]
Gracheva V.
6-36-1
Badosa P.[10]
Osaka N.[16]
6-716-16-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Minnen G.
3-66-36-4
Raducanu E.
Wang X.
7-54-66-3
Tauson C.[21]
Linette M.
6-44-66-1
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-37-64
Jeanjean L.
Begu I.
0-67-53-0
Putintseva Y.[32]
Sierra S.
7-646-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Blinkova A.
7-56-746-1
Rus A.
Osorio C.
4-66-26-4
Teichmann J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-4
Bondar A.
Siegemund L.
7-626-3
Baptiste H.[26]
Haddad Maia B.[23]
4-66-36-1
Li A.[30]
Carle M.
6-46-0
Shnaider D.[25]
Soboleva A.
7-636-2
Jovic I.[17]
Zarazua R.
6-35-76-4
Boisson L.
Mertens E.[23]
6-44-66-3
Alexandrova E.[14]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-3
Bejlek S.
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Sonmez Z.
6-16-1
Danilovic O.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-36-1