Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga SwiatekGuadalajara Finals Round Robin

Guadalajara Finals · WTA · Round Robin
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 10 November 2021
hard
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Sabalenka A.
2-6 6-2 7-5
Swiatek I.
Sabalenka A.
2672
Swiatek I.
6251

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Iga Swiatek 2-6 6-2 7-5 in the Guadalajara Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1. Aryna Sabalenka narrowed the head-to-head to 8–5.

Key context

Head to head

48
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6(1) 4-6 6-0
2024-08-12CincinnatiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2024-05-06RomeFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2024-04-22MadridFclayIga Swiatek7-5 4-6 7-6(7)
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsSFhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2023-04-24MadridFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 3-6 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 2-6 6-1
2022-08-29US OpenSFhardIga Swiatek3-6 6-1 6-4
2022-05-09RomeSFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-1
2022-04-18StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-2
2022-02-21DohaQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Swiatek I.
96
Serve
67
39
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
100
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.4+180 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 2022
7.3Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 2064
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
89

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About