Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka — Rome Final

Rome · WTA · Final
Iga Swiatek
POL1
Iga Swiatek
#8WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Swiatek I.
6-2 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Swiatek I.
662
Sabalenka A.
230

Iga Swiatek defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 6-3 in the Rome final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 64, but Iga Swiatek had arrived on a 6-match winning run. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 8–5.

Key context

Head to head

7–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6(1) 4-6 6-0
2024-08-12CincinnatiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2024-04-22MadridFclayIga Swiatek7-5 4-6 7-6(7)
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsSFhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2023-04-24MadridFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 3-6 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 2-6 6-1
2022-08-29US OpenSFhardIga Swiatek3-6 6-1 6-4
2022-05-09RomeSFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-1
2022-04-18StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-2
2022-02-21DohaQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka2-6 6-2 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Swiatek I.Sabalenka A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 165). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Swiatek I.Sabalenka A.
Clutch Rating·Even
100
98
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
98
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Swiatek I.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Sabalenka A.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 2008
Surface ELO
6.6+95 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 2220
7.7
H2H
2.3
9.2
Surface form
8.3
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.6
Minutes 14d
0.9
4.0
3-set count
0.0
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Swiatek I.Sabalenka A.
Freshness·Even
92
90

Swiatek I.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[2]
Collins D.[13]
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Zheng Q.[7]
7-646-1
Collins D.[13]
Azarenka V.[24]
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Keys M.[18]
6-16-3
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Kerber A.
7-56-3
Keys M.[18]
Cirstea S.[28]
6-26-1
Gauff C.[3]
Badosa P.
5-76-46-1
Ostapenko J.[9]
Sramkova R.
4-66-47-63
Azarenka V.[24]
Sakkari M.[5]
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[2]
Svitolina E.[16]
4-66-17-67
Zheng Q.[7]
Osaka N.
6-26-4
Collins D.[13]
Begu I.
6-06-3
R32
Svitolina E.[16]
Kalinskaya A.[23]
6-36-3
Kerber A.
Sasnovich A.
6-37-64
Sakkari M.[5]
Kalinina A.[30]
7-646-0
Sabalenka A.[2]
Yastremska D.[32]
6-46-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Sherif M.
6-26-766-3
Gauff C.[3]
Cristian J.
6-10-66-3
Collins D.[13]
Garcia C.[22]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Cirstea S.[28]
Vondrousova M.[6]
7-616-3
Sramkova R.
Kenin S.
6-44-66-4
Ostapenko J.[9]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-45-76-1
Keys M.[18]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
6-44-66-3
Badosa P.
Shnaider D.
5-76-46-4
Osaka N.
Kasatkina D.[10]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Noskova L.[29]
3-66-16-2
Begu I.
Mertens E.[27]
6-26-0
R64
Collins D.[13]
Blinkova A.
6-40-0
Begu I.
Dodin O.
5-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Maria T.
7-56-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Pera B.
6-06-2
Ostapenko J.[9]
Potapova A.
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[7]
Rogers S.
6-26-0
Kerber A.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-36-0
Kalinina A.[30]
Tsurenko L.
2-0
Gauff C.[3]
Frech M.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[5]
Gracheva V.
6-26-2
Shnaider D.
Samsonova L.[15]
6-16-3
Putintseva Y.
Stephens S.[31]
6-36-2
Sasnovich A.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-06-1
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Wang X.
4-66-36-4
Keys M.[18]
Osorio C.
6-04-66-3
Vondrousova M.[6]
Bogdan A.
6-23-66-4
Cristian J.
Avanesyan E.
5-76-26-2
Noskova L.[29]
Stefanini L.
6-37-61
Azarenka V.[24]
Linette M.
6-756-46-3
Sherif M.
Paolini J.[11]
7-642-66-4
Mertens E.[27]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Kenin S.
Jabeur O.[8]
7-52-66-4
Sramkova R.
Boulter K.[26]
6-47-68
Sorribes Tormo S.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
6-31-67-5
Kalinskaya A.[23]
Tauson C.
6-16-2
Yastremska D.[32]
Siegemund L.
4-67-56-2
Osaka N.
Kostyuk M.[19]
6-36-2
Garcia C.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
6-27-65
Sabalenka A.[2]
Volynets K.
4-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[16]
Errani S.
6-06-2
Cirstea S.[28]
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-0
Badosa P.
Navarro E.[21]
1-66-46-2
R128
Putintseva Y.
Trevisan M.
6-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Zarazua R.
4-67-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Podoroska N.
6-46-3
Tauson C.
Saville D.
6-26-3
Errani S.
Anisimova A.
4-66-26-1
Sasnovich A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-27-66
Bogdan A.
Fernandez L.
6-46-1
Frech M.
Krueger A.
7-626-3
Siegemund L.
Carle M.
2-66-46-4
Gracheva V.
Di Sarra F.
6-16-3
Maria T.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-653-66-2
Pera B.
Dolehide C.
7-666-3
Kerber A.
Davis L.
6-16-0
Wang X.
Yuan Y.
4-66-16-2
Osorio C.
Rus A.
4-66-36-4
Fruhvirtova B.
Townsend T.
3-66-26-0
Shnaider D.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Osaka N.
Burel C.
7-626-1
Stefanini L.
Paganetti V.
7-56-3
Rogers S.
Pigato L.
6-16-0
Tsurenko L.
Vekic D.
6-23-67-65
Linette M.
Zhu L.
6-36-2
Sherif M.
Martic P.
6-26-2
Blinkova A.
Parry D.
6-26-3
Begu I.
Masarova R.
5-76-36-4
Kenin S.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Volynets K.
Wang Y.
7-666-1
Sramkova R.
Pedone G.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bucsa C.
6-736-07-5
Badosa P.
Andreeva M.
6-26-3
Siniakova K.
Brancaccio N.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Wang X.
6-17-5