Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka — Cancun Finals Semi-final

Cancun Finals · WTA · Semi-final
POL
Iga Swiatek
[2]
#3WTA
2083ELO
2031Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$45MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[1]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW

Iga Swiatek defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-3 6-2 in the Cancun Finals semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, but Iga Swiatek had arrived on a 6-match winning run. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 8–5.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Swiatek I.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Sabalenka A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 2031
Surface ELO
7.4+180 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 2083
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 2240
3.3
H2H
6.7
9.2
Surface form
7.4
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Swiatek I.
662
Sabalenka A.
320

Head to head

7–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6(1) 4-6 6-0
2024-08-12CincinnatiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2024-05-06RomeFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2024-04-22MadridFclayIga Swiatek7-5 4-6 7-6(7)
2023-04-24MadridFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 3-6 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 2-6 6-1
2022-08-29US OpenSFhardIga Swiatek3-6 6-1 6-4
2022-05-09RomeSFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-1
2022-04-18StuttgartFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-2
2022-02-21DohaQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka2-6 6-2 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Swiatek I.Sabalenka A.
64%1st serve in+1%65%
70%1st serve points won+4%74%
48%2nd serve points won+8%56%
62%Service points won+6%68%
47%Return points won+4%43%
60%Break points saved+10%70%
2.9Aces / match+2.55.4
3.1Double faults / match+1.12

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[2]
Pegula J.[5]
6-16-0
Semi-finals
Pegula J.[5]
Gauff C.[3]
6-26-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-36-2
Round Robin
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[4]
6-23-66-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sakkari M.[8]
6-06-1
Pegula J.[5]
Rybakina E.[4]
7-56-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Sakkari M.[8]
6-06-747-62
Pegula J.[5]
Sakkari M.[8]
6-36-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Gauff C.[3]
6-07-5
Swiatek I.[2]
Jabeur O.[6]
6-16-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Vondrousova M.[7]
7-636-0
Gauff C.[3]
Jabeur O.[6]
6-06-1
Gauff C.[3]
Vondrousova M.[7]
5-77-646-3
Jabeur O.[6]
Vondrousova M.[7]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[5]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-46-3