Aryna Sabalenka vs Ons JabeurCincinnati Quarter-final

Cincinnati · WTA · Quarter-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#1217WTA
31 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLLW
Sabalenka A.
7-5 6-3
Jabeur O.
Sabalenka A.
762
Jabeur O.
530

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Ons Jabeur 7-5 6-3 in the Cincinnati quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's semi-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonSFgrassOns Jabeur6-7(5) 6-4 6-3
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka3-6 7-6(5) 7-5
2021-06-28WimbledonQFgrassAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-4
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR32clayOns Jabeur7-6(7) 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Jabeur O.

Jabeur O.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Jabeur O.
96
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 112). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.4
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
5.8
Country comfort
5.6
Surface transition
7.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw