Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa VondrousovaAdelaide 1 Quarter-final

Adelaide 1 · WTA · Quarter-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#120WTA
1907ELO
1826Hard ELO
$33kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 7-5
Vondrousova M.
Sabalenka A.
672
Vondrousova M.
350

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Marketa Vondrousova 6-3 7-5 in the Adelaide 1 quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR64hardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-1
2025-06-16BerlinSFgrassMarketa Vondrousova6-2 6-4
2024-04-15StuttgartQFclayMarketa Vondrousova3-6 6-3 7-5
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-1
2021-03-22MiamiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2018-06-11S-HertogenboschR32grassAryna Sabalenka0-6 7-5 6-3
2018-03-05Indian WellsR32hardMarketa Vondrousova6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Vondrousova M.

Vondrousova M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Vondrousova M.
96
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 113). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
91
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
89
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 52 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
9.9+376 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.1Hard Elo 1826
9.3Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1907
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.7
Surface form
6.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast