Barbora Krejcikova vs Aryna SabalenkaDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · WTA · Quarter-final
#32WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$650kYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 February 2023
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Krejcikova B.
0-6 7-6 6-1
Sabalenka A.
Krejcikova B.
07762
Sabalenka A.
66211

Barbora Krejcikova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 0-6 7-6 6-1 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 6–0, defending last year's round of 16. Barbora Krejcikova claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in seven meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

06
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-15Australian OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2023-03-20MiamiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 2-6 6-4
2021-08-30US OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2020-11-09LinzSFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Krejcikova B.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Krejcikova B.Sabalenka A.
39
Serve
96
57
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Slight edge
92
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
88
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1820
Surface ELO
10.0+382 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2220
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
10.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
10.011-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
90

Krejcikova B.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

Quarter-finals
Pegula J.[3]
Muchova K.
W/O
Swiatek I.[1]
Pliskova K.
W/O
Krejcikova B.
Sabalenka A.[2]
0-67-626-1
Gauff C.[5]
Keys M.
6-27-5