Aryna Sabalenka vs Barbora KrejcikovaIndian Wells Round of 16

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#38WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$650kYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
Sabalenka A.
6-3 2-6 6-4
Krejcikova B.
Sabalenka A.
6262
Krejcikova B.
3641

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Barbora Krejcikova 6-3 2-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-15Australian OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2023-03-20MiamiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2023-02-20DubaiQFhardBarbora Krejcikova0-6 7-6(2) 6-1
2021-08-30US OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2020-11-09LinzSFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Krejcikova B.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Krejcikova B.
96
Serve
39
39
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+382 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1820
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1874
4.6
H2H
5.4
8.6
Surface form
8.5
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
3.3
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.6
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
2.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
79

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Krejcikova B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw