Barbora Krejcikova vs Iga SwiatekDubai Final

Dubai · WTA · Final
#32WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$650kYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 February 2023
hard
#8WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Krejcikova B.
6-4 6-2
Swiatek I.
Krejcikova B.
662
Swiatek I.
420

Barbora Krejcikova defeated Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-2 in the Dubai final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 16. Barbora Krejcikova narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-15SeoulQFhardIga Swiatek6-0 6-3
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek4-6 7-5 6-2
2022-10-03OstravaFhardBarbora Krejcikova5-7 7-6(4) 6-3
2021-05-10RomeR16clayIga Swiatek3-6 7-6(5) 7-5
2021-03-22MiamiR64hardIga Swiatek6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Krejcikova B.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Krejcikova B.Swiatek I.
39
Serve
67
57
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Slight edge
92
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1820
Surface ELO
7.7+202 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 2064
5.4
H2H
4.6
5.1
Surface form
8.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
92

Krejcikova B.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

Final
Krejcikova B.
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-2