Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — Mallorca
USA
Quinn E.
Ethan Quinn faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Mallorca match on grass. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the paper edge — ranked #25, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Davidovich Fokina A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Ethan Quinn 142 games in 14 days, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 102.
- Last match: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina dropped the opening set before beating Fabian Marozsan 5–7 6–2 6–4.
- Last match: Ethan Quinn dropped just 3 games past Nuno Borges.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadQuinn E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.