Murphy Cassone vs Ethan QuinnMallorca Round of 16

Mallorca · ATP · Round of 16
#288ATP
1429ELO
1402Grass ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#51ATP
1804ELO
1712Grass ELO
$786kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
Cassone M.
3-6 7-6 3-6
Quinn E.
Cassone M.
3731
Quinn E.
6662

Ethan Quinn defeated Murphy Cassone in the Round of 16 at the Mallorca grass tournament, winning 6-3, 6-7, 6-3. Quinn served 3 aces to Cassone's 1 and converted all 3 of his break points, compared to Cassone's 50%. Quinn won 88% of his first-serve points to Cassone's 73%, and secured 2 service breaks to Cassone's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ethan Quinn closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
31
66
Break points saved·Even
88
88
Break points won·Clear edge
18
30
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
67
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Cassone M.12%
Quinn E.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Quinn E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1501
Surface ELO
5.3+25 Grass Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1563
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1778
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Cassone M.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw