Murphy Cassone vs Ethan Quinn — Mallorca Round of 16
USA
Cassone M.Murphy Cassone faces Ethan Quinn in the Mallorca round of 16 on grass. Ethan Quinn holds the paper edge — ranked #63, a roughly 240-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Quinn E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Ethan Quinn has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 71 vs 33).
- Freshness: Murphy Cassone comes in with 1 days of rest and 49 games in 14d, vs Ethan Quinn's 4 and 59.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCassone M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Quinn E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.