Abedallah Shelbayh vs Grigor Dimitrov — Mallorca Round of 16
Shelbayh A.
Abedallah Shelbayh faces Grigor Dimitrov in the Mallorca round of 16 on grass. Grigor Dimitrov holds the paper edge — a roughly 230-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Dimitrov G. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Abedallah Shelbayh comes in with 1 days of rest and 84 games in 14d, vs Grigor Dimitrov's 5 and 58.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Grigor Dimitrov has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 88 vs 36).
- Last match: Abedallah Shelbayh edged Corentin Moutet in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadShelbayh A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d) · Dimitrov G.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.