Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio BuseMallorca Round of 16

Mallorca · ATP · Round of 16
#68ATP
1729ELO
1598Grass ELO
$782kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#34ATP
1831ELO
1589Grass ELO
$905kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWWWW
Kopriva V.
vs
Buse I.

Vit Kopriva faces Ignacio Buse in the Mallorca round of 16 on grass. Vit Kopriva holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC
Kopriva V.35%
Buse I.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Buse I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+9 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1589
3.7Overall Elo 1728
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1831
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.85 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.42 of last 5 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Buse I.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

32 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kopriva V.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kopriva V.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
72
63
Break points saved·Even
83
87
Break points won·Dominant
66
28
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
86

Kopriva V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Buse I.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
33°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 33%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-22KitzbuhelQ1clayVit Kopriva6-1 6-7(3) 6-1