Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio BuseKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 32
#64ATP
1740ELO
1699Clay ELO
$827kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLLWLW
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
#33ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWLWW
Kopriva V.
vs
Buse I.

Vit Kopriva faces Ignacio Buse in the Kitzbuhel round of 32 on clay. Ignacio Buse is the paper favourite — ranked #33, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage — but Vit Kopriva has won both their previous meetings.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Kopriva V.31%
Buse I.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Buse I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1699
Surface ELO
6.1+87 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1740
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1822
7.1Leads 3–1 on clay
H2H
2.9Trails 1–3 on clay
3.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.18 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kopriva V.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kopriva V.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
60
63
Break points saved·Even
87
87
Break points won·Dominant
72
28
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
92

Kopriva V.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Buse I.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-24MallorcaR16grassVit Kopriva7-5 6-1
2024-07-22KitzbuhelQ1clayVit Kopriva6-1 6-7 6-1

Draw