Adam Walton vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaMallorca Round of 16

Mallorca · ATP · Round of 16
#97ATP
1703ELO
1565Grass ELO
$531kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#25ATP
1893ELO
1782Grass ELO
$1.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
Walton A.
4-6 5-7
Davidovich Fokina A.
Walton A.
450
Davidovich Fokina A.
672

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advanced to the quarterfinals of the Mallorca grass tournament by defeating Adam Walton 6-4, 7-5 in the Round of 16. Davidovich Fokina secured the win by breaking Walton's serve twice, while Walton did not manage to break Davidovich Fokina's serve.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
97
Break points won·Dominant
8
94
Deciding sets·Even
90
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Walton A.25%
Davidovich Fokina A.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Davidovich Fokina A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1473
Surface ELO
5.6+52 Grass Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1858
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.55 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
66
100

Walton A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw