Damir Dzumhur vs Vit KoprivaMallorca Round of 32

Mallorca · ATP · Round of 32
#105ATP
1638ELO
1532Grass ELO
$525kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWLLW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#64ATP
1729ELO
1598Grass ELO
$782kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWLLL
Dzumhur D.
vs
Kopriva V.

Damir Dzumhur faces Vit Kopriva in the Mallorca round of 32 on grass. Vit Kopriva holds the paper edge — ranked #64, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Dzumhur D.25%
Kopriva V.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kopriva V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1532
Surface ELO
5.8+66 Grass Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1638
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1728
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.05 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
7.0Plays well in heat
Heat performance

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.2
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Dzumhur D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kopriva V.

Kopriva V.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Serve advantage — Kopriva V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
71
72
Break points saved·Even
87
83
Break points won·Even
64
66
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
70
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
89

Dzumhur D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Kopriva V.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
33°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 30%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final