Ethan Quinn vs Vit Kopriva — Mallorca Quarter-final

Mallorca · ATP · Quarter-final

USA

Ethan Quinn

#63ATP

1765ELO

1631Grass ELO

$680kYTD

$2.0MCAREER

22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWLLLWWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 25 June 2026 · 11:00

grass

CENTER COURT · 1st on

CZE

Vit Kopriva

#68ATP

1729ELO

1598Grass ELO

$782kYTD

$2.4MCAREER

29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLWLWLWL

Quinn E.

Kopriva V.

Ethan Quinn faces Vit Kopriva in the Mallorca quarter-final on grass. Ethan Quinn holds the paper edge — ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 30-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC

Quinn E.63%

Kopriva V.37%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Quinn E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Ethan Quinn 78 games in 14 days, Vit Kopriva 46.
Serve & return: Ethan Quinn leads on Serve Rating (33), Vit Kopriva on Return Rating (52).
Head-to-head: Ethan Quinn leads the head-to-head 2–0, 1–0 on grass. Last met at Vienna 2025.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Quinn E.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Kopriva V.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.4+33 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.6Grass Elo 1598

5.5Overall Elo 1765

ELO gap

4.5Overall Elo 1728

7.8Leads 2–0 on grass

H2H

2.2Trails 0–2 on grass

6.97 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.76 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

Heat performance

8.5Excels in hot weather

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Quinn E.Stable

Kopriva V.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

29 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season

Quinn E.Kopriva V.

1st serve in·Even

63%

62%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

75%

68%

2nd serve points won·Even

51%

50%

Service points won·Slight edge

66%

61%

Return points won·Slight edge

34%

39%

Break points saved·Even

65%

63%

Aces / match·Dominant

7.9

3.8

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.7

3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Quinn E.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Kopriva V.

Kopriva V.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Quinn E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Quinn E.Kopriva V.

Clutch Rating·Even

Break points saved·Clear edge

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load

Quinn E.Kopriva V.

Freshness·Slight edge

Quinn E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Kopriva V.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on CENTER COURT · not before Starts At 11:00 · up next on court

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather forecast

31°CClear

Wind 10 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

2–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-10-20	Vienna	Q1	hard	Ethan Quinn	4-6 6-1 6-1
2025-06-22	Mallorca	Q2	grass	Ethan Quinn	5-7 7-5 7-6(5)