Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian MarozsanMallorca Quarter-final

Mallorca · ATP · Quarter-final
#62ATP
1768ELO
1641Grass ELO
$777kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#61ATP
1784ELO
1654Grass ELO
$765kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Kecmanovic M.
4-6 3-6
Marozsan F.
Kecmanovic M.
430
Marozsan F.
662

Fabian Marozsan defeated Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the Mallorca grass tournament. Marozsan hit 9 aces to Kecmanovic's 3 and converted 30% of his break points to Kecmanovic's 25%. Marozsan won 88% of his first-serve points to Kecmanovic's 68%, and he secured 3 service breaks to Kecmanovic's 1.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-16HalleR32grassFabian Marozsan6-3 3-6 6-4
2026-05-24Roland GarrosR128clayMiomir Kecmanovic6-3 6-4
2025-06-16HalleR32grassFabian Marozsan6-7 6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.5
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
55
Break points saved·Even
94
93
Break points won·Clear edge
34
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Kecmanovic M.61%
Marozsan F.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kecmanovic M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1480
Surface ELO
5.1+11 Grass Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1774
2.2Trails 0–2 on grass
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on grass
6.36 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
64
73

Kecmanovic M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 66 games (7d) · Marozsan F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw