Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir KecmanovicHalle Round of 32

Halle · ATP · Round of 32
#61ATP
1780ELO
1591Grass ELO
$574kYTD
$4.4MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#49ATP
1779ELO
1651Grass ELO
$581kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWW
Marozsan F.
vs
Kecmanovic M.

Fabian Marozsan faces Miomir Kecmanovic in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Miomir Kecmanovic holds the paper edge — ranked #49, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Fabian Marozsan ahead 1–0 on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Marozsan F.40%
Kecmanovic M.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kecmanovic M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1591
Surface ELO
5.7+60 Grass Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1779
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
2.93 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
5.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Marozsan F.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Kecmanovic M.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Marozsan F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
69
64
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Dominant
36
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
55
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
100

Marozsan F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Kecmanovic M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
16°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-24Roland GarrosR128clayMiomir Kecmanovic7.7-6.0 6-3 6-4
2025-06-16HalleR32grassFabian Marozsan6-7(3) 6-4 6-4