Yannick Hanfmann vs Adolfo Daniel VallejoMallorca Round of 32

Mallorca · ATP · Round of 32
#59ATP
1774ELO
1639Grass ELO
$552kYTD
$4.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLWLLW
Sets
Sunday, 21 June 2026 ·
grass
#71ATP
1755ELO
1627Grass ELO
$396kYTD
$653kCAREER
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWW
Hanfmann Y.
vs
Vallejo A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Hanfmann Y.66%
Vallejo A.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Hanfmann Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.2+12 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1627
5.2Overall Elo 1774
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1755
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Vallejo A.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 41 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hanfmann Y.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Vallejo A.

Vallejo A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Serve advantage — Vallejo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
60
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
71
Break points won·Dominant
26
65
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
75

Hanfmann Y.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
35°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 27%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final