Jan Lennard Struff vs Nuno BorgesMallorca Round of 16

Mallorca · ATP · Round of 16
#41ATP
1694ELO
1623Grass ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#55ATP
1769ELO
1656Grass ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLWL
Lennard Struff J.
4-6 5-7
Borges N.
Lennard Struff J.
450
Borges N.
672

Nuno Borges defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-4, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the Mallorca grass tournament. Borges won 100% of his first-serve points, while Struff won 67%. The match saw no aces, double faults, converted break points, or service breaks for either player.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.6
6.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
51
53
Break points saved·Even
97
94
Break points won·Clear edge
5
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
68
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Lennard Struff J.42%
Borges N.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1508
4.3Overall Elo 1709
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1761
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
78

Lennard Struff J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Borges N.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 21%

Draw