Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov — Mallorca Round of 32
Polmans M.
Marc Polmans faces Grigor Dimitrov in the Mallorca round of 32 on grass. Grigor Dimitrov holds the paper edge — ranked #169, a roughly 200-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Dimitrov G. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Grigor Dimitrov has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 88 vs Marc Polmans's 23).
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Marc Polmans 20 games in 14 days, Grigor Dimitrov 58.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPolmans M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Dimitrov G.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.