Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — Mallorca Final

Mallorca · ATP · Final
Ethan Quinn
USA
Ethan Quinn
#47ATP
1804ELO
1712Grass ELO
$724kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 27 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ESP2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#23ATP
1893ELO
1782Grass ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Quinn E.
6-7 3-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Quinn E.
6430
Davidovich Fokina A.
7762

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina broke serve in the second set to take control and defeat Ethan Quinn 7-6 6-3 in the Mallorca final.

Around the match

  • “It feels amazing to have the first title after five finals. Today was a very tough final. He played amazing and I was lucky in the tiebreak.”

    Davidovich Fokina A.Tennis Now ↗

  • “I'm happy to be here in my first final, hopefully we have a few more and hopefully I can get over that hump and get the title next time.”

    Quinn E.Tennis Now ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Ethan Quinn converted 1 of 4 break points; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina converted 2 of 5 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Quinn E.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Break points won
1/4
2/5
Break points saved
3/5
3/4

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Quinn E.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Quinn E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Quinn E.Davidovich Fokina A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Quinn E.Davidovich Fokina A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
91
Break points saved·Even
95
99
Break points won·Dominant
19
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:22 UTC
Quinn E.35%
Davidovich Fokina A.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Davidovich Fokina A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Quinn E.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Davidovich Fokina A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1630
Surface ELO
5.7+57 Grass Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1765
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1853
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Quinn E.Davidovich Fokina A.
Freshness·Clear edge
91
70

Quinn E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 27%
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
—
Hanfmann Y.
Vallejo A.
7-627-62
Struff J.
Landaluce M.
6-31-67-5
Borges N.
Mannarino A.[8]
6-26-2
—
Quinn E.
Royer V.
6-46-3
Dzumhur D.
Kopriva V.
3-64-6
Tsitsipas S.
Buse I.[5]
6-743-6
Navone M.[7]
Sonego L.
6-726-24-6
Kecmanovic M.
Ghibaudo A.
2-66-37-66
Marozsan F.
Molcan A.
2-67-6107-65
—
Moutet C.[6]
Shelbayh A.
5-74-6
Polmans M.
Dimitrov G.
1-66-73
Walton A.
N. Kyrgios
6-36-4
—
Darderi L.[1]
Hanfmann Y.
7-56-3
Struff J.
Borges N.
4-65-7
Cassone M.
Quinn E.
3-67-643-6
Kopriva V.
Buse I.[5]
7-56-1
Sonego L.
Kecmanovic M.
6-26-744-6
Marozsan F.
Tabilo A.[4]
6-26-3
Shelbayh A.
Dimitrov G.
2-64-6
Walton A.
Davidovich Fokina A.[2]
4-65-7
Darderi L.[1]
Borges N.
6-714-6
Quinn E.
Kopriva V.
5-77-56-3
Kecmanovic M.
Marozsan F.
4-63-6
Dimitrov G.
Davidovich Fokina A.[2]
3-63-6
Borges N.
Quinn E.
1-62-6
Marozsan F.
Davidovich Fokina A.[2]
7-52-64-6
Quinn E.
Davidovich Fokina A.[2]
6-743-6