Gustavo Heide vs Enrico Dalla ValleMilan Quarter-final

Milan · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#141ATP
1695ELO
1679Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$609kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#359ATP
1462ELO
1439Clay ELO
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWL
Heide G.
7-6 7-6
Dalla Valle E.
Heide G.
77772
Dalla Valle E.
64650

Gustavo Heide got past Enrico Dalla Valle 7-6 7-6 in the Milan quarter-final on clay.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 5: Enrico Dalla Valle saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Set 1, game 11: A 17-point game with six deuces went Enrico Dalla Valle's way.
  • Set 2, game 5: A 21-point game with eight deuces went Gustavo Heide's way.
  • Pressure points: Gustavo Heide converted 1 of 8 break points; Enrico Dalla Valle converted 1 of 10 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Heide G.
Dalla Valle E.
Break points won
1/8
1/10
Break points saved
9/10
7/8

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Heide G.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Dalla Valle E.

Dalla Valle E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Heide G.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
26
Break points saved·Dominant
90
58
Break points won·Even
10
7
Deciding sets·Slight edge
63
53
Tiebreaks·Dominant
88
45

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:21 UTC
Heide G.83%
Dalla Valle E.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Heide G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+233 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1457
7.8Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1479
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
57
68

Heide G.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d) · Dalla Valle E.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 50%