Oriol Roca Batalla vs Pierluigi BasileMilan Round of 32

Milan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#319ATP
1465ELO
1440Clay ELO
33 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 10 · 4th on
#839ATP
1285ELO
1296Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWLLL
Roca Batalla O.
vs
Basile P.

Oriol Roca Batalla faces Pierluigi Basile in the Milan round of 32 on clay. Oriol Roca Batalla holds the paper edge — ranked #319, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Roca Batalla O.78%
Basile P.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Roca Batalla O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+144 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1296
7.2Overall Elo 1465
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1285
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Basile P.Risingearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

10 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
31%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Roca Batalla O.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Basile P.

Basile P.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Roca Batalla O.

Serve advantage — Roca Batalla O.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
63
100

Roca Batalla O.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Basile P.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on COURT 10 · not before Not Before 16:00 · 3 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Dalla Valle E. v Travaglia S.
  2. 2Diaz Acosta F. v Tobon M.
  3. 3Jorda Sanchis D. v Prado Angelo J.
  4. 4Roca Batalla O. v Basile P.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.