Elmer Moller vs Pierluigi BasileMilan Round of 16

Milan · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#172ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$155kYTD
$727kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 10 · 1st on
#634ATP
1286ELO
1297Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWL
Moller E.
4-6 4-6
Basile P.
Moller E.
440
Basile P.
662

Pierluigi Basile advanced to the quarterfinals of the Milan clay tournament by defeating Elmer Moller 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 16. Basile hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 55% of his break points and winning 60% of his first-serve points. Moller had 5 service breaks but was unable to overcome Basile's 6 breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Pierluigi Basile edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
61%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
56%
Service points won·Clear edge
54%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
5.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Moller E.83%
Basile P.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Moller E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+318 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Clay Elo 1296
9.3Overall Elo 1628
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1285
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
94

Moller E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Basile P.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw