Elmer Moller vs Norbert Gombos — Milan Round of 32

Milan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
DEN7
Elmer Moller
#172ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$155kYTD
$727kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 13 · 4th on
Norbert Gombos
SVKQ
Norbert Gombos
#424ATP
1472ELO
1455Clay ELO
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Moller E.
7-6 6-1
Gombos N.
Moller E.
762
Gombos N.
610

Elmer Moller defeated Norbert Gombos in the Round of 32 of the Milan clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-1 in favor of Moller. Moller served 3 aces and committed 13 double faults, while converting 36% of break points and winning 73% of first-serve points.

Key context

  • Match story: Elmer Moller came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Moller E.Gombos N.
1st serve in·Even
57%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Moller E.Gombos N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
69
16
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
72
Break points won·Dominant
58
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Moller E.82%
Gombos N.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Moller E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Moller E.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Gombos N.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0+158 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1455
6.9Overall Elo 1628
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1472
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Moller E.Gombos N.
Freshness·Slight edge
87
79

Moller E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Gombos N.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
34°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw