Francesco Passaro vs Enrico Dalla Valle — Milan Round of 16
Passaro F.Francesco Passaro faces Enrico Dalla Valle in the Milan round of 16 on clay. Francesco Passaro is the paper favourite — ranked #185, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage — but Enrico Dalla Valle arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Francesco Passaro's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Passaro F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Francesco Passaro comes in with 6 days of rest and 71 games in 14d, vs Enrico Dalla Valle's 1 and 95.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Francesco Passaro has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 58 vs 30).
- Last match: Francesco Passaro edged Daniel Michalski in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPassaro F.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Dalla Valle E.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.