Raul Brancaccio vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Milan Round of 32

Milan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Raul Brancaccio
ITA
Raul Brancaccio
#232ATP
1492ELO
1465Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWL
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
Nikoloz Basilashvili
GEO
Nikoloz Basilashvili
#132ATP
1672ELO
1635Clay ELO
$329kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLLW
Brancaccio R.
6-1 2-1
Basilashvili N.
Brancaccio R.
621
Basilashvili N.
110

Raul Brancaccio advanced to the next round in Milan with a win over Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Round of 32. Brancaccio led 6-1, 2-1 when Basilashvili retired. Brancaccio hit 6 aces to Basilashvili's 3 and converted 50% of his break points, while Basilashvili converted none.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Brancaccio R.Basilashvili N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.1
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Brancaccio R.Basilashvili N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
54
Break points saved·Dominant
49
79
Break points won·Slight edge
19
24
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Brancaccio R.24%
Basilashvili N.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Basilashvili N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Brancaccio R.
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Basilashvili N.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1465
Surface ELO
7.3+187 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1492
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1685
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.42 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Brancaccio R.Basilashvili N.
Freshness·Slight edge
87
97

Brancaccio R.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Basilashvili N.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw