Daniel Rincon vs Jacopo Vasami — Milan Round of 32
Rincon D.
Daniel Rincon faces Jacopo Vasami in the Milan round of 32 on clay. Daniel Rincon is the paper favourite — ranked #256 — but Jacopo Vasami arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Daniel Rincon's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Vasami J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Daniel Rincon comes in with 8 days of rest and 82 games in 14d, vs Jacopo Vasami's 10 and 42.
- Surface form: Daniel Rincon 4 of 10, Jacopo Vasami 6 of 10 on clay recently — Jacopo Vasami the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.