Daniel Rincon vs Jacopo VasamiMilan Round of 32

Milan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#206ATP
1522ELO
1469Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#371ATP
1532ELO
1499Clay ELO
18 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
Rincon D.
6-2 1-0
Vasami J.
Rincon D.
611
Vasami J.
200

Daniel Rincon advanced to the next round in Milan with a win over Jacopo Vasami in the Round of 32. Vasami retired during the match, with Rincon leading 6-2, 1-0. At the time of Vasami's retirement, Rincon had converted three of ten break points and won 86 percent of his first-serve points.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Rincon D.27%
Vasami J.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vasami J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1521
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1532
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Rincon D.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw