Mathys Erhard vs Jurij Rodionov — Milan Round of 32
Erhard M.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Rodionov J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadErhard M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d) · Rodionov J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on COURT 13 · not before Starts At 10:00 · up next on court
- 1Erhard M. v Rodionov J.This match
- 2Mcdonald N. v Martin Manzano J.
- 3Ribecai M. v Rapagnetta D.
- 4Moller E. v Gombos N.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.