Enrico Dalla Valle vs Stefano Travaglia — Milan Round of 32
Dalla Valle E.Enrico Dalla Valle faces Stefano Travaglia in the Milan round of 32 on clay. Stefano Travaglia is the paper favourite — ranked #130, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage — but Enrico Dalla Valle arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on clay to Stefano Travaglia's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Travaglia S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Enrico Dalla Valle dropped just 2 games past Petr Nesterov.
- Surface form: Enrico Dalla Valle 6 of 8, Stefano Travaglia 4 of 8 on clay recently — Enrico Dalla Valle the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Stefano Travaglia carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDalla Valle E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d) · Travaglia S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on COURT 10 · not before Starts At 10:00 · up next on court
- 1Dalla Valle E. v Travaglia S.This match
- 2Diaz Acosta F. v Tobon M.
- 3Jorda Sanchis D. v Prado Angelo J.
- 4Roca Batalla O. v Basile P.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.