Zizou Bergs vs Ugo HumbertEastbourne Final

Eastbourne · ATP · Final
#48ATP
1756ELO
1628Grass ELO
$971kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 28 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
#30ATP
1832ELO
1701Grass ELO
$940kYTD
$11MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLW
Bergs Z.
3-6 6-1 6-4
Humbert U.
Bergs Z.
3662
Humbert U.
6141

Zizou Bergs recovered from a set down to defeat Ugo Humbert 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the Eastbourne final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 4: A 13-point game with four deuces went Ugo Humbert's way.
  • Set 3, game 7: Zizou Bergs broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Zizou Bergs converted 4 of 10 break points; Ugo Humbert converted 2 of 5 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Bergs Z.
Humbert U.
Break points won
4/10
2/5
Break points saved
3/5
6/10

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10MarseilleSFhardUgo Humbert6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bergs Z.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
68%
Aces / match·Even
7.0
7.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
68
71
Break points saved·Even
95
99
Break points won·Clear edge
21
37
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
82
Tiebreaks·Even
92
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC
Bergs Z.31%
Humbert U.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Humbert U. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1628
Surface ELO
5.9+73 Grass Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1756
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1832
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.95 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
62
55

Bergs Z.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Humbert U.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 79%