Jenson Brooksby vs Aleksandar Vukic — Eastbourne Round of 32
Brooksby J.
Jenson Brooksby faces Aleksandar Vukic in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Jenson Brooksby holds the paper edge — ranked #73, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Aleksandar Vukic ahead 1–0 on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Brooksby J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Aleksandar Vukic grades 16 on serve, Jenson Brooksby 54 on return.
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jenson Brooksby 76 games in 14 days, Aleksandar Vukic 58.
- Last match: Aleksandar Vukic edged Hamish Stewart in three tight sets (7–6 4–6 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on grass
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadBrooksby J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Vukic A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | US Open | R128 | hard | Jenson Brooksby | 6-3 6-7(4) 6-4 3-6 6-4 |
| 2025-06-23 | Eastbourne | Q2 | grass | Aleksandar Vukic | 7-5 6-3 |